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A Villa Comparison

I thought it may be worth doing a like for like comparison for this seasons results, against last seasons. This would give a true reflection of the direction the club is going in. I have compared results like for like, against the same fixtures last season. I have replaced the relegated teams with the promoted ones and put them in the same order. For example, the first of the relegated teams we played last season was Watford away. The first of the promoted teams we played this season was Small Heath. We got 1 point at Watford but got 3 at the Sty. This means on that particular fixture we have gained 2 extra points and a goal difference of +1. Clear as mud????

I think it is easy to see that we need new players to improve on our weaker areas and increase squad depth. I am not overly happy that we seem to have gained a Knight but lost a Cahill (maybe he will stay). I am not sure that Carson has been good value for 3 million in loan fees and wages, and think we should have stuck with TS and invested in a right back as a priority. However all managers are judged on results on the pitch. League wise we are showing a vast improvement. The cups have once again been a major disappointment. Last season we were unlucky to have away games early on against Manure and CSKAhelski. This season we got Manure again but flopped against Leicester (probably the worst result and performance of M'ONS reign to date). The only consolation being that had we have won we would have faced CSKAhelski away in the next round (feels a bit like a conspiracy going on).

One away defeat in 11 months is nothing short of superb and is better than any other club over the same period. If one of the so called big 4 or the media friendly Spuds had a record like that it would be constantly rammed down our throats.

However I am moving away from the main point of the article. From the same 24 fixtures last season we had earned 31 points and scored 26 goals. We had conceded 26 as well, giving us a goal difference of 0.

This season as we know, we have already won 41 points. Scoring 43 goals and conceding 31, giving us a goal difference of +12. We still have 6 of the bottom 9 clubs to come to Villa Park, so it is not inconceivable to be on 59 points from in effect 30 games. 8 points from the other 8 games would probably see us qualify for Europe, possibly in 4th but almost certainly in 5th.

We are improving, of that there is no doubt. However we are at least 6 players short of having a squad big enough to cope with a European campaign. We are on the right track but we have massive amounts to do. Not just to get into the top 4, but to stay there and ultimately challenge for the title.




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The Journalist

Writer: voiceoftheholte Mail feedback, articles or suggestions

Date:Tuesday January 29 2008

Time: 8:21AM

Your Comments (oldest first)

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Good article and plenty of points that show the improvement of the club. Just wish some of the doubters would realise the turnaround at the club in such a short space of time. Now lets get 3 players of quality in and push on for that European place. Keep the Faith UTV.
notthedougellisstand
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29/01/2008 08:33:00

Good article. The only negative for me in the comparisons is the fact we have now conceded more goals at home this season than we did for the whole of last season. We have progressed to score more goals but in doing so we seem to be leaking more... do we really want to end up like Spurs!! On a brighter side we have conceded a lot less away from home... but we do have a few toughies to come!
Hoss The Villain
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29/01/2008 08:53:00

Good article, we need our scouts to secure us a couple of gems from the continent in this window (that's my latest strategy!!)
tarzan
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29/01/2008 09:20:00

good points although for me TS was a poor goalkeeper and Knight is a far better player than Cahill and a more reliable 3rd choice. On the goals conceded we had 2 bad results at home Pompey and UTD but apart from that we have been ok. if we get into europe then we need a bigger squad which is what MON has been talking about recently. One thing which has improved is that although the squad is smaller most of the squad can play in the first team. I remember in the dark days of O'Leary looking at the squad and only finding 14 who had aqny chance of playing a first team match. We had a lot of deadwood to clear out which we are still having to do but progress is being made.
daveldvilla
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29/01/2008 09:28:00

VP attendances speak for themselves. I know everyone is stressing at the lack of transfer activity but we all know Villa are playing some of the most excting football seen at B6 for many a year. Long may it continue.
Adam Deuce
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29/01/2008 11:34:00

Agreed it's a great and exciting time for the club, but last season we slumped and didn't win for an age. And we can all agree that a great deal of blame has to go on a knackered squad. I was hoping MON had learned from that.
villaaaah
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29/01/2008 11:41:00

Our slump was after 9 games through the middle part of the season, where we are now, we had a good start and finish. We're on an 8 game unbeaten run at the moment. I don't think the two seasons can be compared in that respect.
Carlosio
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29/01/2008 13:04:00

For me, excepting the better on-field performance this season and the obvious signs of improvement in management and facilities, the illusion of attracting exciting players under O'Neill is just not going to happen. I wonder who "Big Fat Ron" would have signed by now? I just think O'Neill sees himself as some sort of "missionery" and is happiest working with, and getting the best out of "run-of the mill" players.
villacross
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29/01/2008 19:44:00

A typical voiceoftheholte article. Well thought out, highly interesting and extremely thought provoking. Welcome back voth. Your input has been greatly missed.
glensider
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30/01/2008 23:00:00

We look on course for a total approaching sixty points surely? Will that be enough though to clinch a top six finish?
glensider
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14/02/2008 17:33:00

 

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